--- name: longbridge-consensus description: | Analyst consensus snapshot for listed companies via Longbridge — current revenue / EPS / target-price consensus estimates and analyst rating distribution. For revision direction, beat/miss tracking, and PEAD signals use longbridge-earnings-revision. Triggers: "一致预期", "分析师预期", "EPS预测", "目标价", "分析师评级分布", "买入评级", "卖出评级", "一致預期", "分析師預期", "EPS預測", "目標價", "分析師評級分佈", "買入評級", "賣出評級", "analyst consensus", "EPS forecast", "target price", "analyst rating distribution", "buy sell hold", "price target consensus", "TSLA.US consensus", "700.HK analyst estimates". license: MIT metadata: author: longbridge version: "1.0.0" risk_level: read_only requires_login: false default_install: true requires_mcp: false tier: analysis --- # longbridge-consensus Prompt-only analysis skill. Orchestrates Longbridge CLI commands to surface analyst consensus estimates, estimate revision trends, beat/miss history, and post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) signals. > **Response language**: match the user's input language — Simplified Chinese / Traditional Chinese / English. ## When to use - *"TSLA 分析师预期"*, *"TSLA analyst consensus"*, *"TSLA 分析師預期"* - *"NVDA 下季度 EPS 预期"*, *"NVDA next-quarter EPS forecast"* - *"苹果最近预期修正了吗"*, *"has AAPL had estimate revisions recently"* - *"700.HK 目标价共识"*, *"700.HK price target consensus"* - *"TSLA 上季超预期了吗"*, *"did TSLA beat last quarter"*, *"TSLA 上季超預期嗎"* - *"NVDA PEAD 信号"*, *"NVDA post-earnings drift"* For full fundamentals (revenue/margins/ROE) use `longbridge-fundamental`. For valuation use `longbridge-valuation`. ## CLI Run `longbridge --help` to see all available subcommands, then `longbridge --help` before calling. Types of data needed (call concurrently): - Coverage count, buy/hold/sell distribution, consensus target price - Revenue / EPS estimates (high / low / mean / median) - Forward EPS by period - Institution rating distribution + median target price - Rating and target price change history (for revision trend — run `--help` for available history flags) ```bash longbridge TSLA.US --format json # run --help for available flags and subcommand names ``` ## Workflow 1. **Resolve symbol** to `.` format. 2. **Determine scope** from the user prompt: | Prompt intent | Data to fetch | |---|---| | Consensus snapshot | Coverage count + buy/hold/sell + EPS estimates + forward EPS | | Rating distribution / target price | Institution rating distribution + median target | | Revision trend | Rating and target price change history | | Beat / miss analysis | EPS actuals vs consensus mean | | PEAD signal | EPS actuals + consensus + price context | 3. **In-LLM analysis**: | Quantity | Method | |---|---| | **Estimate revision direction** | Compare current mean EPS vs prior period from rating history; rising / flat / falling | | **Beat / miss** | Actual EPS vs consensus mean; beat threshold > +2% | | **PEAD signal** | Consecutive beats + upward revisions → positive momentum; consecutive misses + downward revisions → negative momentum. **Note**: PEAD is a statistical tendency, not a guarantee. | | **Surprise %** | `(Actual − Estimate) / |Estimate| × 100%` | 4. Output structured report; cite **Longbridge Securities**; end with disclaimer. ## Output template ``` {Symbol} ({code}) Analyst Consensus — Source: Longbridge Securities As of: {date} [Coverage & ratings] - Analysts covering: N | Buy: X / Hold: Y / Sell: Z - Median target price: {price} ({currency}) | Upside from last: ±X% [EPS consensus] - Current-quarter estimate: mean {X}, range [{low} – {high}] - Next-quarter estimate: mean {X}, range [{low} – {high}] - FY estimate: mean {X}, range [{low} – {high}] [Revenue consensus] - Current-quarter estimate: mean {X} YoY ±Y% - FY estimate: mean {X} YoY ±Y% [Estimate revision trend] - Direction (past 30/90 days): {rising / flat / falling} - Key revisions: {summary from rating/target price change history} [Beat / miss history (last 4 quarters)] | Quarter | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise % | |---------|-----------|----------|-----------| | {Q} | {A} | {E} | {±X%} | ... [PEAD signal] - Pattern: {N consecutive beats / misses / mixed} - Revision bias: {upward / neutral / downward} - PEAD inference: {positive momentum / neutral / negative momentum} ⚠️ PEAD is a statistical tendency, not a forecast. ⚠️ 以上数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议。/ 以上數據僅供參考，不構成投資建議。/ For reference only. Not investment advice. ``` (Omit sections where data is unavailable; state so explicitly.) ## Error handling | Situation | 简体中文回复 | 繁體中文 / English | |---|---|---| | `command not found: longbridge` | 回退到 MCP；如 MCP 也不可用，请用户安装 longbridge-terminal。 | 回退到 MCP；如也不可用，請安裝 longbridge-terminal。/ Fall back to MCP; if also unavailable, tell user to install longbridge-terminal. | | stderr `not logged in` | 请运行 `longbridge auth login` 登录。 | 請執行 `longbridge auth login`。/ Run `longbridge auth login`. | | Consensus data has < 3 analysts | 覆盖分析师不足 3 位，一致预期仅供参考。 | 覆蓋分析師不足 3 位，僅供參考。/ Fewer than 3 analysts — consensus is indicative only. | | Analyst estimates data returns empty | "{symbol} 暂无分析师预期数据。" | "{symbol} 暫無分析師預期。" / "{symbol} has no analyst estimates." | | No actuals for beat/miss | 跳过超预期/低于预期分析，注明无历史实际值。 | 跳過超預期分析，注明無歷史數據。/ Skip beat/miss analysis; note no historical actuals available. | | Other stderr | 直接显示原始错误，不静默重试。 | 顯示原始錯誤。/ Surface verbatim — do not retry silently. | ## MCP fallback If `longbridge` CLI is not installed (`command not found`), use MCP tools: When the CLI is unavailable, fall back to the MCP server. Discover available tools from the MCP server's tool list at runtime — do not rely on hardcoded tool names. MCP setup: `claude mcp add --transport http longbridge https://openapi.longbridge.com/mcp` (`quote` scope). ## Related skills - Full fundamentals (revenue / ROE / margins) → `longbridge-fundamental` - Valuation (PE / PB / industry) → `longbridge-valuation` - Three-statement financials → `longbridge-financial-report` - News & market reaction → `longbridge-news` - Post-earnings deep-dive → `longbridge-earnings` ## File layout ``` longbridge-consensus/ └── SKILL.md # prompt-only, no scripts/ ```