--- name: polymarket-fast-loop displayName: Polymarket FastLoop Trader description: Trade Polymarket BTC 5-minute and 15-minute fast markets using CEX price momentum signals via Simmer API. Default signal is Binance BTC/USDT klines. Use when user wants to trade sprint/fast markets, automate short-term crypto trading, or use CEX momentum as a Polymarket signal. metadata: {"clawdbot":{"emoji":"⚡","requires":{"env":["SIMMER_API_KEY"]},"cron":null,"autostart":false}} authors: - Simmer (@simmer_markets) version: "1.0.6" published: true --- # Polymarket FastLoop Trader Trade Polymarket's 5-minute BTC fast markets using real-time price momentum from Binance. > **Polymarket only.** All trades execute on Polymarket with real USDC. Use `--live` for real trades, dry-run is the default. **How it works:** Every cycle, the script finds the current live BTC fast market, checks BTC price momentum on Binance, and trades if momentum diverges from market odds. **This is a template.** The default signal (Binance momentum) gets you started. Your agent's reasoning is the edge — layer on sentiment analysis, multi-exchange spreads, news feeds, or custom signals to improve it. > ⚠️ Fast markets carry Polymarket's 10% fee (`is_paid: true`). Factor this into your edge calculations. ## When to Use This Skill Use this skill when the user wants to: - Trade BTC sprint/fast markets (5-minute or 15-minute) - Automate short-term crypto prediction trading - Use CEX price momentum as a Polymarket signal - Monitor sprint market positions ## Setup Flow When user asks to install or configure this skill: 1. **Ask for Simmer API key** - Get from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab - Store in environment as `SIMMER_API_KEY` 2. **Ask about settings** (or confirm defaults) - Asset: BTC, ETH, or SOL (default BTC) - Entry threshold: Min divergence to trade (default 5¢) - Max position: Amount per trade (default $5.00) - Window: 5m or 15m (default 5m) 3. **Set up cron or loop** (user drives scheduling — see "How to Run on a Loop") ## Quick Start ```bash # Set your API key export SIMMER_API_KEY="your-key-here" # Dry run — see what would happen python fastloop_trader.py # Go live python fastloop_trader.py --live # Live + quiet (for cron/heartbeat loops) python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet # Live + smart sizing (5% of balance per trade) python fastloop_trader.py --live --smart-sizing --quiet ``` ## How to Run on a Loop The script runs **one cycle** — your bot drives the loop. Set up a cron job or heartbeat: **Every 5 minutes (one per fast market window):** ``` */5 * * * * cd /path/to/skill && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet ``` **Every 1 minute (more aggressive, catches mid-window opportunities):** ``` * * * * * cd /path/to/skill && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet ``` **Via OpenClaw heartbeat:** Add to your HEARTBEAT.md: ``` Run: cd /path/to/fast market && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet ``` ## Configuration Configure via `config.json`, environment variables, or `--set`: ```bash # Change entry threshold python fastloop_trader.py --set entry_threshold=0.08 # Trade ETH instead of BTC python fastloop_trader.py --set asset=ETH # Multiple settings python fastloop_trader.py --set min_momentum_pct=0.3 --set max_position=10 ``` ### Settings | Setting | Default | Env Var | Description | |---------|---------|---------|-------------| | `entry_threshold` | 0.05 | `SIMMER_SPRINT_ENTRY` | Min price divergence from 50¢ to trigger | | `min_momentum_pct` | 0.5 | `SIMMER_SPRINT_MOMENTUM` | Min BTC % move to trigger | | `max_position` | 5.0 | `SIMMER_SPRINT_MAX_POSITION` | Max $ per trade | | `signal_source` | binance | `SIMMER_SPRINT_SIGNAL` | Price feed (binance, coingecko) | | `lookback_minutes` | 5 | `SIMMER_SPRINT_LOOKBACK` | Minutes of price history | | `min_time_remaining` | 60 | `SIMMER_SPRINT_MIN_TIME` | Skip fast markets with less time left (seconds) | | `asset` | BTC | `SIMMER_SPRINT_ASSET` | Asset to trade (BTC, ETH, SOL) | | `window` | 5m | `SIMMER_SPRINT_WINDOW` | Market window duration (5m or 15m) | | `volume_confidence` | true | `SIMMER_SPRINT_VOL_CONF` | Weight signal by Binance volume | ### Example config.json ```json { "entry_threshold": 0.08, "min_momentum_pct": 0.3, "max_position": 10.0, "asset": "BTC", "window": "5m", "signal_source": "binance" } ``` ## CLI Options ```bash python fastloop_trader.py # Dry run python fastloop_trader.py --live # Real trades python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet # Silent except trades/errors python fastloop_trader.py --smart-sizing # Portfolio-based sizing python fastloop_trader.py --positions # Show open fast market positions python fastloop_trader.py --config # Show current config python fastloop_trader.py --set KEY=VALUE # Update config ``` ## Signal Logic Default signal (Binance momentum): 1. Fetch last 5 one-minute candles from Binance (`BTCUSDT`) 2. Calculate momentum: `(price_now - price_5min_ago) / price_5min_ago` 3. Compare momentum direction to current Polymarket odds 4. Trade when: - Momentum ≥ `min_momentum_pct` (default 0.5%) - Price diverges from 50¢ by ≥ `entry_threshold` (default 5¢) - Volume ratio > 0.5x average (filters out thin moves) **Example:** BTC up 0.8% in last 5 min, but fast market YES price is only $0.52. The 3¢ divergence from the expected ~$0.55 → buy YES. ### Customizing Your Signal The default momentum signal is a starting point. To add your own edge: - **Multi-exchange:** Compare prices across Binance, Kraken, Bitfinex — divergence between exchanges can predict CLOB direction - **Sentiment:** Layer in Twitter/social signals — a viral tweet can move fast markets - **Technical indicators:** RSI, VWAP, order flow analysis - **News:** Breaking news correlation — use your agent's reasoning to interpret headlines The skill handles all the Simmer plumbing (discovery, import, trade execution). Your agent provides the alpha. ## Example Output ``` ⚡ Simmer FastLoop Trading Skill ================================================== [DRY RUN] No trades will be executed. Use --live to enable trading. ⚙️ Configuration: Asset: BTC Entry threshold: 0.05 (min divergence from 50¢) Min momentum: 0.5% (min price move) Max position: $5.00 Signal source: binance Lookback: 5 minutes Min time left: 60s Volume weighting: ✓ 🔍 Discovering BTC fast markets... Found 3 active fast markets 🎯 Selected: Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Expires in: 185s Current YES price: $0.480 📈 Fetching BTC price signal (binance)... Price: $97,234.50 (was $96,812.30) Momentum: +0.436% Direction: up Volume ratio: 1.45x avg 🧠 Analyzing... ⏸️ Momentum 0.436% < minimum 0.500% — skip 📊 Summary: No trade (momentum too weak: 0.436%) ``` ## Source Tagging All trades are tagged with `source: "sdk:fastloop"`. This means: - Portfolio shows breakdown by strategy - Other skills won't interfere with your fast market positions - You can track fast market P&L separately ## Troubleshooting **"No active fast markets found"** - Fast markets may not be running (off-hours, weekends) - Check Polymarket directly for active BTC fast markets **"No fast markets with >60s remaining"** - Current window is about to expire, next one isn't live yet - Reduce `min_time_remaining` if you want to trade closer to expiry **"Import failed: Rate limit exceeded"** - Free tier: 10 imports/day. Pro: 50/day - Fast market trading needs Pro for reasonable frequency **"Failed to fetch price data"** - Binance API may be down or rate limited - Try `--set signal_source=coingecko` as fallback **"Trade failed: no liquidity"** - Fast market has thin book, try smaller position size